Amanani aphezulu ezolimo eminyakeni yamuva abangele abalimi emhlabeni wonke ukuba batshale okusanhlamvu okuningi nembewu kawoyela.Kodwa-ke, umthelela we-El Nino, ohambisana nemikhawulo yokuthumela ngaphandle kwamanye amazwe kanye nokukhula okuqhubekayo kwesidingo se-biofuel, kusikisela ukuthi abathengi bangabhekana nesimo esiqinile sokuhlinzekwa kwempahla ngo-2024.
Ngemuva kwezinzuzo eziqinile zikakolweni, ummbila kanye nezintengo zesoya emhlabeni wonke eminyakeni embalwa edlule, u-2023 ubone ukwehla okuphawulekayo njengoba izinto ze-Black Sea zinciphisa kanye nethemba lokuwohloka komnotho emhlabeni wonke, kusho abahlaziyi nabahwebi.Ngo-2024, nokho, amanani ahlala esengozini yokushaqeka nokukhuphuka kwamandla emali okudla.U-Ole Howie uthi ukuhlinzekwa kokusanhlamvu kuzothuthuka ngo-2023 njengoba ezinye izindawo ezinkulu ezikhiqizayo zandisa umkhiqizo, kodwa azikakaphumi ehlathini okwamanje.Njengoba izikhungo zesimo sezulu zibikezela ukuthi i-El Nino izohlala okungenani kuze kube ngu-April noma ngoMeyi ngonyaka ozayo, ummbila waseBrazil cishe uzowa, kanti iChina ithenga ukolweni omningi nommbila emakethe yamazwe ngamazwe.
Isimo sezulu sika-El Nino, esilethe isimo sezulu esomile engxenyeni enkulu ye-Asia kulo nyaka futhi singahlala kuze kube yingxenye yokuqala ka-2024, sisho ukuthi abanye abadayisi abakhulu nabangenisa kwamanye amazwe babhekana nezingozi zokuhlinzekwa kwerayisi, ukolweni, uwoyela wesundu nezinye izinto zezolimo.
Abahwebi nezikhulu balindele ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kwerayisi lase-Asia kwehle engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2024, njengoba izimo zokutshala ezomile kanye nokuncipha kokugcinwa kwamanzi emachibini kungaholela ekuvuneni okuphansi.Ukunikezwa kwerayisi emhlabeni wonke bekuvele kuqinile kulo nyaka ngemuva kokuthi i-El Nino yehlise ukukhiqizwa futhi yashukumisela i-India, i-export ehamba phambili emhlabeni, ukuthi ibeke imingcele ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe.Ngisho noma ezinye izinhlamvu zehla, amanani erayisi aphinde akhuphuka afinyelela eminyakeni eyi-15 ngesonto eledlule, amanani acashunwe abanye abathumeli bangaphandle base-Asia akhuphuka ngamaphesenti angama-40-45.
E-India, umkhiqizi kakolweni wesibili ngobukhulu emhlabeni, isivuno sikakolweni esilandelayo sisengozini yokuntuleka kwemvula okungase kuphoqe i-India ukuthi ifune ukuthenga kwamanye amazwe okokuqala ngqa eminyakeni eyisithupha njengoba izinqwaba zikakolweni zehle zafika ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu. iminyaka eyisikhombisa.
E-Australia, okuyindawo yesibili ngobukhulu emhlabeni kakolweni, izinyanga zokushisa ezishisayo ziye zalimaza isivuno kulo nyaka, okuqeda i-streak yeminyaka emithathu yesivuno esirekhodiwe.Abalimi base-Australia cishe bazohlwanyela ukolweni emhlabathini owomile ngo-Ephreli ozayo.Ukulahleka kukakolweni e-Australia kungase kwenze abathengi abafana neChina ne-Indonesia bafune ukolweni owengeziwe eNyakatho Melika, eYurophu nase-Black Sea.I-Commerzbank ikholelwa ukuthi isimo sokuhlinzekwa kukakolweni singase sibe sibi kakhulu ngo-2023/24, njengoba izimpahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle ezivela emazweni akhiqiza kakhulu zingancishiswa kakhulu.
Indawo ekhanyayo yango-2024 yizibikezelo zokukhiqizwa kommbila okuphezulu, ukolweni nobhontshisi wesoya eNingizimu Melika, nakuba isimo sezulu eBrazil sihlala sikhathaza.Ukuna kwemvula enhle ezindaweni ezikhiqiza kakhulu ezolimo zase-Argentina kusize ukukhulisa ubhontshisi wesoya, ummbila nokolweni.Ngenxa yemvula eqhubekayo ezindaweni ezinotshani zasePambas kusukela ekupheleni kuka-Okthoba, amaphesenti angama-95 ommbila osheshe watshalwa kanye namaphesenti angama-75 esilimo sikabhontshisi kabhontshisi kuthiwa angcono kakhulu.E-Brazil, izitshalo zango-2024 zisendleleni yokuba seduze kwamazinga arekhodiwe, yize izibikezelo zezwe zokukhiqizwa kukabhontshisi wommbila zincishisiwe emasontweni asanda kwedlula ngenxa yesimo sezulu esomile.
Ukukhiqizwa kukawoyela wesundu emhlabeni wonke kungenzeka kwehle ngenxa yesimo sezulu esomile esilethwe u-El Nino, okusekela amanani kawoyela odliwayo.Izintengo zikawoyela wesundu zehle ngaphezu kuka-6% kuze kube manje ngo-2023. Nakuba ukukhiqizwa kukawoyela wesundu kuncipha, isidingo sikawoyela wesundu siyakhula ezimbonini ze-biodiesel nezokudla.
Ngokombono ongokomlando, okusanhlamvu emhlabeni wonke kanye nezimbewu zikawoyela ziqinile, iNyakatho Nenkabazwe kungenzeka ibone iphethini yesimo sezulu eqinile ye-El Nino phakathi nenkathi yokukhula okokuqala ngqa kusukela ngo-2015, idola laseMelika kufanele liqhubeke nokwehla kwalo kwakamuva, kuyilapho isidingo somhlaba wonke kufanele iqale kabusha inkambiso yayo yokukhula yesikhathi eside.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Mar-18-2024