IBrazil ihlela ukwandisa indawo yommbila nokolweni ngo-2022/23 ngenxa yokwenyuka kwamanani kanye nesidingo, ngokusho kombiko we-USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS), kodwa ingabe kuzoba nokwanele eBrazil ngenxa yengxabano esifundeni saseBlack Sea? Umanyolo useyinkinga. Indawo yommbila kulindeleke ukuthi ikhule ngamahektha ayisigidi esisodwa ibe ngamahektha ayizigidi ezingu-22.5, kanti umkhiqizo ulinganiselwa kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-22.5. Indawo yokutshala ukolweni izokhula ibe ngamahektha ayizigidi ezingu-3.4, kanti umkhiqizo ufinyelela cishe kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-9.
Ukukhiqizwa kommbila kulinganiselwa ukuthi kukhuphuke ngamaphesenti ama-3 kusukela onyakeni wokumaketha odlule futhi kubeka irekhodi elisha. IBrazil ingumkhiqizi nommbila wesithathu ngobukhulu emhlabeni. Abalimi bazovinjelwa amanani aphezulu kanye nokutholakala komanyolo. Ummbila udla amaphesenti ayi-17 okusetshenziswa komanyolo eBrazil, okuyinkampani enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni engenisa umanyolo, kusho i-FAS. Abaphakeli abaphezulu bahlanganisa iRussia, iCanada, iChina, iMorocco, i-United States kanye neBelarus. Ngenxa yengxabano e-Ukraine, imakethe ikholelwa ukuthi ukugeleza komanyolo waseRussia kuzoncipha kakhulu, noma kume kulo nyaka nangonyaka ozayo. Izikhulu zikahulumeni waseBrazil zifune izivumelwano nabathumeli abakhulu bomanyolo abavela eCanada baya eMpumalanga Ephakathi naseNyakatho Afrika ukuze bagcwalise ukushoda okulindelekile, kusho i-FAS. Kodwa-ke, imakethe ilindele ukuthi ukushoda komanyolo kube yinto engenakugwenywa, umbuzo kuphela ukuthi ukushoda kuzoba kukhulu kangakanani. Ukuthunyelwa kommbila kokuqala kuka-2022/23 kubikezelwe ku-45 million tons, kukhuphuke ngamathani ayisigidi esisodwa kusukela onyakeni odlule. Lesi sibikezelo sisekelwa amathemba okuvuna okusha okurekhodiwe ngesizini ezayo, okuzoshiya izimpahla eziningi ezitholakalayo zokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe. Uma ukukhiqizwa kuphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe ekuqaleni, khona-ke ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe nakho kungaba phansi.
Indawo kakolweni kulindeleke ukuthi ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angama-25 kusukela ngesizini edlule. Izibikezelo zesivuno sokuqala zilinganiselwa kumathani angu-2.59 ngehekthare. Uma kucatshangelwa isibikezelo sokukhiqiza, i-FAS ithe ukukhiqizwa kukakolweni eBrazil kungadlula irekhodi lamanje ngamathani angaba yizigidi ezimbili. Ukolweni uzoba yisitshalo sokuqala esikhulu ukutshalwa eBrazil phakathi kokwesaba ukutholakala komanyolo omncane. I-FAS iqinisekisile ukuthi iningi lezinkontileka zokufaka izitshalo zasebusika zazisayiniwe ngaphambi kokuba kuqale ingxabano, futhi ukulethwa manje sekuqalile. Kodwa-ke, kunzima ukulinganisa ukuthi inkontileka engu-100% izogcwaliseka yini. Ngaphezu kwalokho, akucaci ukuthi labo abakhiqizi abatshala ubhontshisi kanye nommbila bazokhetha yini ukonga ezinye izinto zokufaka zalezi zitshalo. Njengommbila nezinye izinto, abanye abakhiqizi bakakolweni bangakhetha ukunciphisa umanyolo ngoba nje amanani abo encishiswa emakethe, i-FAS ibeke okwesikhashana isibikezelo sayo sokuthumela ukolweni ngaphandle kuka-2022/23 kumathani ayizigidi ezintathu ekubalweni okulinganayo kokusanhlamvu kukakolweni. Isibikezelo sibheka ijubane eliqinile lokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe elibonwe engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021/22 kanye nokulindela ukuthi isidingo sikakolweni emhlabeni wonke sizohlala siqinile ngo-2023. I-FAS ithe: “Ukuthumela ngaphandle amathani angaphezu kwesigidi sikakolweni kuyinguquko enkulu yeBrazil, evame ukuthumela ngaphandle ingxenye encane kuphela yomkhiqizo wayo kakolweni, cishe u-10%. Uma lokhu kuguquguquka kokuhweba ngokolweni kuqhubeka isikhathi eside, ukukhiqizwa kukakolweni eBrazil cishe kuzokhula kakhulu futhi kube ngumthengisi ohamba phambili emhlabeni kakolweni.”
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Ephreli-10-2022