I-Brazil ihlela ukwandisa i-acreage yommbila nokolweni ngo-2022/23 ngenxa yokukhuphuka kwamanani nesidingo, ngokombiko we-USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS), kodwa ingabe kuzoba nokwanele eBrazil ngenxa yokungqubuzana esifundeni soLwandle Olumnyama?Umanyolo useyinkinga.Indawo yommbila kulindeleke ukuthi ikhule ngamahektha ayizigidi eziyi-1 ifinyelele kumahektha ayizigidi ezingama-22.5, kanti umkhiqizo ulinganiselwa kumathani ayizigidi ezingama-22.5.I-acreage kakolweni izokhuphuka ifinyelele kumahektha ayizigidi ezi-3.4, kanti ukukhiqizwa kuzofinyelela cishe kumathani ayizigidi eziyisi-9.
Ukukhiqizwa kommbila kulinganiselwa ukuthi kwenyuke ngamaphesenti angu-3 kusukela onyakeni odlule wokumaketha futhi kusethe irekhodi elisha.I-Brazil ingeyesithathu ngomkhiqizi omkhulu wommbila nokuthekelisa kwamanye amazwe emhlabeni.Abalimi bazovinjelwa amanani aphezulu kanye nokutholakala kukamanyolo.Ummbila udla amaphesenti angu-17 engqikithi yokusetshenziswa kukamanyolo eBrazil, okuyizwe elingenisa umanyolo omkhulu kunawo wonke emhlabeni, kusho i-FAS.Abahlinzeki abahamba phambili bahlanganisa i-Russia, i-Canada, i-China, i-Morocco, i-United States ne-Belarus.Ngenxa yokungqubuzana e-Ukraine, imakethe ikholelwa ukuthi ukugeleza kukamanyolo waseRussia kuzonciphisa kakhulu, noma kuze kumise kulo nyaka nangokuzayo.Izikhulu zikahulumeni waseBrazil ziye zafuna izivumelwano nabadayisi bakamanyolo abakhulu abasuka eCanada baye eMpumalanga Ephakathi naseNyakatho ne-Afrika ukuze bagcwalise lesi sishodi esilindelekile, kusho i-FAS.Kodwa-ke, imakethe ilindele ukuthi ukushoda kukamanyolo kube yinto engenakugwenywa, umbuzo kuphela ukuthi ukushoda kuzoba kukhulu kangakanani.Ukuthunyelwa kommbila kwasekuqaleni kuka-2022/23 kubikezelwa ukuthi kuzoba amathani ayizigidi ezingama-45, okukhuphuke ngamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1 ukusuka ngonyaka owedlule.Isibikezelo sisekelwa okulindelekile kwerekhodi elisha lokuvuna ngesizini ezayo, elizoshiya inqwaba yezinto ezitholakalayo ukuze zithunyelwe ngaphandle.Uma ukukhiqizwa kungaphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe ekuqaleni, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe nakho kungase kube phansi.
Indawo kakolweni kulindeleke ukuthi inyuke ngamaphesenti angama-25 uma kuqhathaniswa nesizini edlule.Izibikezelo zesivuno sokuqala zilinganiselwa ku-2.59 amathani ehektheleni.Icabangela isibikezelo sokukhiqiza, i-FAS ithe ukukhiqizwa kukakolweni waseBrazil kungadlula irekhodi lamanje ngamathani ayizigidi ezi-2.Ukolweni uzoba yisilimo sokuqala esikhulu esizotshalwa eBrazil phakathi novalo lokungatholakali kukamanyolo.I-FAS iqinisekise ukuthi iningi lezinkontileka zokufaka izitshalo zasebusika zazisayiniwe ngaphambi kokuthi kuqale ukungqubuzana, futhi manje kwakusaqhubeka ukulethwa.Nokho, kunzima ukulinganisa ukuthi i-100% yenkontileka izogcwaliseka yini.Ukwengeza, akucaci ukuthi labo abakhiqizi abalima ubhontshisi wesoya nommbila bazokhetha yini ukonga ama-input alezi zitshalo.Ngokufana nommbila nezinye izinto ezithengiswayo, abanye abakhiqizi bakakolweni bangakhetha ukunciphisa ukuvundisa ngenxa nje yokuthi amanani abo akhishwa emakethe, i-FAS izimisele ngokubeka isibikezelo sayo sokuthumela ukolweni sika-2022/23 kumathani ayizigidi ezi-3 ekubaleni okulinganayo kokusanhlamvu kukakolweni.Isibikezelo sicabangela isivinini esinamandla sokuthumela ngaphandle esibonwe engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021/22 kanye nokulindela ukuthi isidingo sikakolweni emhlabeni wonke sizohlala siqinile ngo-2023. I-FAS yathi: “Ukuthumela ngaphandle kwamathani kakolweni angaphezu kwesigidi esisodwa kuwushintsho olukhulu eBrazil. , ngokuvamile okuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe ingxenye encane kuphela yokukhiqizwa kukakolweni, cishe u-10%.Uma lokhu kuhwebelana kukakolweni kuqhubeka izingxenye eziningana , ukukhiqizwa kukakolweni eBrazil cishe kuzokhula kakhulu futhi kube umhwebi ohamba phambili kakolweni emhlabeni.”
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Apr-10-2022